Ahmet Rasim Pala vs Phil Johns
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-5-0Record30-14-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height5'2"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight160 lbs
Kimura BJJTeamSilverbacks Vale Tudo
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1497
If they lose-16→ 1465
If they win+16→ 1496
If they lose-16→ 1464
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1513 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1559 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ahmet Rasim PalaPhil Johns
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ahmet Rasim Pala59%
Phil Johns 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ahmet Rasim Pala a 59% favorite over Phil Johns in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1481 vs 1480), separated by just 1 points.
Phil Johns enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ahmet Rasim Pala finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Phil Johns 68%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.