Aiden Lee vs Daniel Pineda
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-11-0Record28-17-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height5'7"
75"Reach69"
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Fearless MMA· 1550 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeam4oz. Fight Club· 1606 avg Elo · 9 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1607
If they lose-12→ 1583
If they win+12→ 1607
If they lose-12→ 1583
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1552 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1614 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Aiden LeeDaniel Pineda
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Aiden Lee69%
Daniel Pineda 31%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Aiden Lee a 69% favorite over Daniel Pineda in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1595 vs 1595), separated by just 0 points.
Daniel Pineda enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Aiden Lee finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Daniel Pineda 100%.
Aiden Lee carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.