Aiden Lee vs Sam Sicilia
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-11-0Record18-11-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height5'8"
75"Reach67,0"
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1585
If they lose-12→ 1561
If they win+12→ 1586
If they lose-12→ 1562
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1605 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Aiden LeeSam Sicilia
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Aiden Lee62%
Sam Sicilia 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Aiden Lee a 62% favorite over Sam Sicilia in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Sam Sicilia's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1573 vs 1574), separated by just 1 points.
Aiden Lee finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Sam Sicilia 72%.
Aiden Lee carries a 8-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.