Combat Edge Intelligence

Aiemann Zahabi vs Rafael Estevam

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-3-0Record14-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'8"
68"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight128 lbs
Tristar GymTeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aiemann ZahabiNow 1724
If they win+16→ 1740
If they lose-16→ 1708
Rafael EstevamNow 1725
If they win+16→ 1741
If they lose-16→ 1709

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1695 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1578 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.54
Sig. strikes / min
2.10
48%
Strike accuracy
54%
4.08
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.59
69%
Strike defense
47%
0.12
Takedown avg.
6.01
14%
Takedown accuracy
39%
84%
Takedown defense
67%
0
Submission avg.
0.29

Trajectory

Aiemann ZahabiRafael Estevam
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (43%)
KO/TKO
4 (29%)
2 (14%)
Submission
3 (21%)
6 (43%)
Decision
7 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Aiemann Zahabi and Rafael Estevam within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1724 vs 1725), separated by just 1 points.

Aiemann Zahabi finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Rafael Estevam 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.