Combat Edge Intelligence

Aiemann Zahabi vs Ricky Turcios

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-3-0Record12-6-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'8"
68"Reach71"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Tristar GymTeamTeam Alpha Male

What's at stake

Aiemann Zahabi is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Ricky Turcios carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Aiemann ZahabiNow 1724
If they win+10→ 1734
If they lose-22→ 1702
Ricky TurciosNow 1592
If they win+22→ 1614
If they lose-10→ 1582

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1695 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.54
Sig. strikes / min
4.73
48%
Strike accuracy
40%
4.08
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.72
69%
Strike defense
52%
0.12
Takedown avg.
0.91
14%
Takedown accuracy
20%
84%
Takedown defense
44%
0
Submission avg.
0.36

Trajectory

Aiemann ZahabiRicky Turcios
160016501700175020252026

Win method breakdown

6 (43%)
KO/TKO
3 (25%)
2 (14%)
Submission
1 (8%)
6 (43%)
Decision
8 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

Aiemann Zahabi81%
Ricky Turcios 19%Elo baseline: 68%

The Combat Edge model makes Aiemann Zahabi a 81% favorite over Ricky Turcios in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).

Aiemann Zahabi holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1724 to 1592, a 132-point edge.

Ricky Turcios enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Aiemann Zahabi finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Ricky Turcios 33%.

Ricky Turcios carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.