Combat Edge Intelligence

Aiemann Zahabi vs Vince Morales

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-3-0Record16-11-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
68"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
Tristar GymTeamSyndicate MMA

What's at stake

Aiemann Zahabi is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Vince Morales carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Aiemann ZahabiNow 1724
If they win+11→ 1735
If they lose-21→ 1703
Vince MoralesNow 1617
If they win+16→ 1633
If they lose-8→ 1609

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1695 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1610 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.54
Sig. strikes / min
3.57
48%
Strike accuracy
38%
4.08
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4
69%
Strike defense
54%
0.12
Takedown avg.
0.59
14%
Takedown accuracy
40%
84%
Takedown defense
59%
0
Submission avg.
0.49

Trajectory

Aiemann ZahabiVince Morales
1600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (43%)
KO/TKO
7 (44%)
2 (14%)
Submission
5 (31%)
6 (43%)
Decision
4 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Aiemann Zahabi81%
Vince Morales 19%Elo baseline: 65%

The Combat Edge model makes Aiemann Zahabi a 81% favorite over Vince Morales in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).

Aiemann Zahabi holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1724 to 1617, a 107-point edge.

Vince Morales enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Aiemann Zahabi finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Vince Morales 75%.

Vince Morales carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.