Combat Edge Intelligence

Aisling Daly vs Ericka Almeida

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Aisling Daly
ie

Aisling Daly

“Ais the Bash”

16-6-0StrawweightUFC

1626Solid

Tale of the tape

16-6-0Record8-3-0
StrawweightDivisionBantamweight
5'3"Height5'6"
64,0"Reach38,0"
116 lbsWeight135 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamTeam Nogueira

What's at stake

Aisling Daly is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Ericka Almeida carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Aisling DalyNow 1626
If they win+14→ 1640
If they lose-18→ 1608
Ericka AlmeidaNow 1588
If they win+18→ 1606
If they lose-14→ 1574

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1547 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.92
Sig. strikes / min
1.07
52%
Strike accuracy
40%
1.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.33
56%
Strike defense
44%
2.15
Takedown avg.
0.50
42%
Takedown accuracy
33%
33%
Takedown defense
38%
0.86
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Aisling DalyEricka Almeida
1600165020132014201520162017

Win method breakdown

5 (31%)
KO/TKO
2 (25%)
8 (50%)
Submission
6 (75%)
3 (19%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Aisling Daly56%
Ericka Almeida 44%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Aisling Daly a 56% favorite over Ericka Almeida in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Aisling Daly holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1626 to 1588, a 38-point edge.

Ericka Almeida enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Aisling Daly finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Ericka Almeida 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.