Combat Edge Intelligence

AJ Cunningham vs Jay Perrin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jay Perrin
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Jay Perrin

“The Joker”

13-8-0BantamweightCTFC

1591Solid

Tale of the tape

11-5-0Record13-8-0
LightweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'9"
71″Reach67"
155 lbsWeight135 lbs
Without Limits MMATeamSyndicate MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

AJ CunninghamNow 1590
If they win+16→ 1606
If they lose-16→ 1574
Jay PerrinNow 1591
If they win+16→ 1607
If they lose-16→ 1575

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1541 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.66
Sig. strikes / min
3.71
29%
Strike accuracy
47%
11.90
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.90
49%
Strike defense
45%
0
Takedown avg.
2.83
0%
Takedown accuracy
53%
33%
Takedown defense
59%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

AJ CunninghamJay Perrin
15501600202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
2 (15%)
4 (36%)
Submission
4 (31%)
3 (27%)
Decision
7 (54%)

Combat Edge model read

AJ Cunningham51%
Jay Perrin 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes AJ Cunningham a 51% favorite over Jay Perrin in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jay Perrin's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1590 vs 1591), separated by just 1 points.

AJ Cunningham enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jay Perrin enters on a 2-fight win streak.

AJ Cunningham finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Jay Perrin 46%.

AJ Cunningham carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.