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Combat Edge Intelligence

AJ Cunningham vs Motonobu Tezuka

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-5-0Record30-15-6
LightweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'7"
71″ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight135 lbs
Without Limits MMA· 1562 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamSecret Base Dominate

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

AJ CunninghamNow 1590
If they win+16→ 1606
If they lose-16→ 1574
Motonobu TezukaNow 1590
If they win+12→ 1602
If they lose-12→ 1578

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1541 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1502 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

7.66
Sig. strikes / min
0.87
29%
Strike accuracy
24%
11.90
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.80
49%
Strike defense
51%
0
Takedown avg.
1.50
0%
Takedown accuracy
11%
33%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0.50

Trajectory

AJ CunninghamMotonobu Tezuka
160016502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
7 (23%)
4 (36%)
Submission
7 (23%)
3 (27%)
Decision
16 (53%)

Combat Edge model read

AJ Cunningham55%
Motonobu Tezuka 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes AJ Cunningham a 55% favorite over Motonobu Tezuka in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1590 vs 1590), separated by just 0 points.

AJ Cunningham enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Motonobu Tezuka enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

AJ Cunningham finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Motonobu Tezuka 47%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.