Combat Edge Intelligence

AJ Cunningham vs Nick Pace

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-5-0Record8-3-0
LightweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'7"
71″ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight135 lbs
Without Limits MMATeamTeam Tiger Schulmann

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

AJ CunninghamNow 1590
If they win+16→ 1606
If they lose-16→ 1574
Nick PaceNow 1592
If they win+16→ 1608
If they lose-16→ 1576

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1541 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1569 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.66
Sig. strikes / min
1.48
29%
Strike accuracy
34%
11.90
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.14
49%
Strike defense
58%
0
Takedown avg.
2.52
0%
Takedown accuracy
43%
33%
Takedown defense
55%
0
Submission avg.
0.50

Trajectory

AJ CunninghamNick Pace
16002016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
1 (13%)
4 (36%)
Submission
5 (63%)
3 (27%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting AJ Cunningham and Nick Pace within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1590 vs 1592), separated by just 2 points.

AJ Cunningham enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Nick Pace enters on a 2-fight win streak.

AJ Cunningham finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Nick Pace 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.