AJ Cunningham vs Nicolas Mandiola
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-5-0Record5-1-0
LightweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'7"
71″ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight134 lbs
Without Limits MMATeamKiltros Crew
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1606
If they lose-16→ 1574
If they win+24→ 1613
If they lose-24→ 1565
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1541 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1492 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
AJ CunninghamNicolas Mandiola
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nicolas Mandiola61%
AJ Cunningham 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Nicolas Mandiola a 61% favorite over AJ Cunningham in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans AJ Cunningham's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1590 vs 1589), separated by just 1 points.
AJ Cunningham enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Nicolas Mandiola enters on a 2-fight win streak.
AJ Cunningham finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Nicolas Mandiola 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.