Combat Edge Intelligence

AJ Dobson vs Duško Todorović

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-3-0Record13-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'1"
76"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Strong Style Fight TeamTeamSecutor

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

AJ DobsonNow 1598
If they win+16→ 1614
If they lose-16→ 1582
Duško TodorovićNow 1600
If they win+16→ 1616
If they lose-16→ 1584

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1638 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.29
Sig. strikes / min
4.73
46%
Strike accuracy
58%
5.31
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.40
46%
Strike defense
48%
1.67
Takedown avg.
1.77
75%
Takedown accuracy
21%
65%
Takedown defense
43%
0.28
Submission avg.
0.35

Trajectory

AJ DobsonDuško Todorović
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
8 (62%)
2 (29%)
Submission
4 (31%)
2 (29%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Duško Todorović60%
AJ Dobson 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Duško Todorović a 60% favorite over AJ Dobson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1598 vs 1600), separated by just 2 points.

AJ Dobson finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Duško Todorović 92%.

AJ Dobson carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.