Combat Edge Intelligence

AJ Dobson vs Edmen Shahbazyan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-3-0Record16-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'2"
76"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Strong Style Fight TeamTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

Edmen Shahbazyan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — AJ Dobson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

AJ DobsonNow 1598
If they win+21→ 1619
If they lose-11→ 1587
Edmen ShahbazyanNow 1716
If they win+11→ 1727
If they lose-21→ 1695

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1685 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.29
Sig. strikes / min
3.80
46%
Strike accuracy
49%
5.31
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.60
46%
Strike defense
49%
1.67
Takedown avg.
1.62
75%
Takedown accuracy
38%
65%
Takedown defense
66%
0.28
Submission avg.
0.40

Trajectory

AJ DobsonEdmen Shahbazyan
16001650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
13 (81%)
2 (29%)
Submission
1 (6%)
2 (29%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Edmen Shahbazyan79%
AJ Dobson 21%Elo baseline: 66%

The Combat Edge model makes Edmen Shahbazyan a 79% favorite over AJ Dobson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).

Edmen Shahbazyan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1716 to 1598, a 118-point edge.

AJ Dobson finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Edmen Shahbazyan 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.