Combat Edge Intelligence

AJ Fletcher vs Bryan Battle

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
AJ Fletcher
us

AJ Fletcher

“The Ghost”

10-5-0WelterweightBFC

1590Solid
Bryan Battle
us

Bryan Battle

“The Butcher”

12-3-0WelterweightPFL

1711Good

Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record12-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'2"
67"Reach77"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Gladiators AcademyTeamHayastan MMA Charlotte

What's at stake

Bryan Battle is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — AJ Fletcher carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

AJ FletcherNow 1590
If they win+21→ 1611
If they lose-11→ 1579
Bryan BattleNow 1711
If they win+11→ 1722
If they lose-21→ 1690

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1547 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1662 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.36
Sig. strikes / min
5.12
50%
Strike accuracy
53%
4.61
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.11
47%
Strike defense
44%
1.54
Takedown avg.
0.77
36%
Takedown accuracy
9%
33%
Takedown defense
54%
0.93
Submission avg.
0.39

Trajectory

AJ FletcherBryan Battle
1600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (40%)
KO/TKO
4 (33%)
5 (50%)
Submission
5 (42%)
1 (10%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Bryan Battle80%
AJ Fletcher 20%Elo baseline: 67%

The Combat Edge model makes Bryan Battle a 80% favorite over AJ Fletcher in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).

Bryan Battle holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1711 to 1590, a 121-point edge.

AJ Fletcher enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

AJ Fletcher finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Bryan Battle 75%.

Bryan Battle carries a 10-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.