Combat Edge Intelligence

AJ Fletcher vs Jeremy Jackson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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AJ Fletcher
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AJ Fletcher

“The Ghost”

10-5-0WelterweightBFC

1590Solid

Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record9-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
67"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Gladiators AcademyTeamTeam Freedom

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

AJ FletcherNow 1590
If they win+16→ 1606
If they lose-16→ 1574
Jeremy JacksonNow 1589
If they win+24→ 1613
If they lose-24→ 1565

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1547 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1569 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.36
Sig. strikes / min
0.77
50%
Strike accuracy
27%
4.61
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.19
47%
Strike defense
26%
1.54
Takedown avg.
1.64
36%
Takedown accuracy
40%
33%
Takedown defense
59%
0.93
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

AJ FletcherJeremy Jackson
16001650200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

4 (40%)
KO/TKO
6 (67%)
5 (50%)
Submission
2 (22%)
1 (10%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting AJ Fletcher and Jeremy Jackson within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1590 vs 1589), separated by just 1 points.

AJ Fletcher enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Jeremy Jackson enters on a 2-fight win streak.

AJ Fletcher finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Jeremy Jackson 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.