AJ Fletcher vs Lukasz Les
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
10-5-0Record8-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
67"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight169 lbs
Gladiators AcademyTeamWolfslair Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1606
If they lose-16→ 1574
If they win+24→ 1615
If they lose-24→ 1567
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1547 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1490 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
AJ FletcherLukasz Les
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
AJ Fletcher64%
Lukasz Les 36%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes AJ Fletcher a 64% favorite over Lukasz Les in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Lukasz Les's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1590 vs 1591), separated by just 1 points.
AJ Fletcher enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
AJ Fletcher finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Lukasz Les 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.