Combat Edge Intelligence

AJ Fletcher vs Scott Norton

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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AJ Fletcher
us

AJ Fletcher

“The Ghost”

10-5-0WelterweightBFC

1590Solid

Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record7-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
67"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Gladiators AcademyTeamRing Sports United

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

AJ FletcherNow 1590
If they win+16→ 1606
If they lose-16→ 1574
Scott NortonNow 1589
If they win+24→ 1613
If they lose-24→ 1565

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1547 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1497 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.36
Sig. strikes / min
0.67
50%
Strike accuracy
31%
4.61
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.34
47%
Strike defense
60%
1.54
Takedown avg.
2.52
36%
Takedown accuracy
25%
33%
Takedown defense
0%
0.93
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

AJ FletcherScott Norton
1600165020052006200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

4 (40%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
5 (50%)
Submission
6 (86%)
1 (10%)
Decision
1 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Scott Norton60%
AJ Fletcher 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Scott Norton a 60% favorite over AJ Fletcher in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans AJ Fletcher's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1590 vs 1589), separated by just 1 points.

AJ Fletcher enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

AJ Fletcher finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Scott Norton 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.