Combat Edge Intelligence

AJ Fletcher vs Viscardi Andrade

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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AJ Fletcher
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AJ Fletcher

“The Ghost”

10-5-0WelterweightBFC

1590Solid

Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record22-10-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
67"Reach75,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Gladiators AcademyTeamGracie Fusion

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

AJ FletcherNow 1590
If they win+16→ 1606
If they lose-16→ 1574
Viscardi AndradeNow 1591
If they win+12→ 1603
If they lose-12→ 1579

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1547 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1574 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.36
Sig. strikes / min
3.26
50%
Strike accuracy
42%
4.61
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.77
47%
Strike defense
63%
1.54
Takedown avg.
1.93
36%
Takedown accuracy
50%
33%
Takedown defense
67%
0.93
Submission avg.
0.32

Trajectory

AJ FletcherViscardi Andrade
1600165020202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

4 (40%)
KO/TKO
8 (36%)
5 (50%)
Submission
6 (27%)
1 (10%)
Decision
8 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

AJ Fletcher52%
Viscardi Andrade 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes AJ Fletcher a 52% favorite over Viscardi Andrade in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Viscardi Andrade's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1590 vs 1591), separated by just 1 points.

AJ Fletcher enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Viscardi Andrade enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

AJ Fletcher finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Viscardi Andrade 64%.

Viscardi Andrade carries a 8-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.