Combat Edge Intelligence

Aji Susilo vs Melvin Guillard

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Melvin Guillard
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Melvin Guillard

“The Young Assassin”

32-22-2WelterweightUCL

1521Average

Tale of the tape

6-4-0Record32-22-2
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
TBDTeamGenesis Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aji SusiloNow 1523
If they win+24→ 1547
If they lose-24→ 1499
Melvin GuillardNow 1521
If they win+12→ 1533
If they lose-12→ 1509

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1608 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.96
TBD
Strike accuracy
41%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.85
TBD
Strike defense
66%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.30
TBD
Takedown accuracy
64%
TBD
Takedown defense
61%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.19

Trajectory

Aji SusiloMelvin Guillard
155020032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (50%)
KO/TKO
21 (66%)
2 (33%)
Submission
2 (6%)
1 (17%)
Decision
9 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Aji Susilo56%
Melvin Guillard 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Aji Susilo a 56% favorite over Melvin Guillard in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1523 vs 1521), separated by just 2 points.

Melvin Guillard enters on a 10-fight loss streak.

Aji Susilo finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Melvin Guillard 72%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.