Akbar Abdullaev vs Ednilson Santos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-0-0Record14-8-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
70"Reach73"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
Akbar Abdullaev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Ednilson Santos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1763
If they lose-24→ 1731
If they win+24→ 1589
If they lose-8→ 1557
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1532 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Akbar AbdullaevEdnilson Santos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Akbar Abdullaev96%
Ednilson Santos 4%Elo baseline: 75%
The Combat Edge model makes Akbar Abdullaev a 96% favorite over Ednilson Santos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (75%).
Akbar Abdullaev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1755 to 1565, a 190-point edge.
Akbar Abdullaev enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Akbar Abdullaev finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Ednilson Santos 57%.
Ednilson Santos carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.