Akbarh Arreola vs Ray Hayes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
26-11-1Record9-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
71,0"Reach-
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Entram Gym· 1678 avg Elo · 12 ratedTeamArsenal Elite
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1649
If they lose-12→ 1625
If they win+16→ 1654
If they lose-16→ 1622
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1586 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Akbarh ArreolaRay Hayes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Akbarh Arreola52%
Ray Hayes 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Akbarh Arreola a 52% favorite over Ray Hayes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ray Hayes's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1637 vs 1638), separated by just 1 points.
Akbarh Arreola enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Ray Hayes enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Akbarh Arreola finishes 96% of wins inside the distance, Ray Hayes 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.