Combat Edge Intelligence

Akbarh Arreola vs Tiago Trator

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

26-11-1Record22-9-1
MiddleweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
71,0"Reach70.00
185 lbsWeight155 lbs
Entram GymTeamTeam Nogueira

What's at stake

Akbarh Arreola is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Tiago Trator carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Akbarh ArreolaNow 1637
If they win+9→ 1646
If they lose-15→ 1622
Tiago TratorNow 1550
If they win+30→ 1580
If they lose-18→ 1532

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1588 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1616 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.32
Sig. strikes / min
3.69
45%
Strike accuracy
36%
4.01
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.23
57%
Strike defense
60%
1.07
Takedown avg.
0.63
100%
Takedown accuracy
11%
33%
Takedown defense
33%
0.36
Submission avg.
0.31

Trajectory

Akbarh ArreolaTiago Trator
15501600165020152016201720182019202020212022

Win method breakdown

5 (19%)
KO/TKO
7 (32%)
20 (77%)
Submission
7 (32%)
1 (4%)
Decision
8 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Akbarh Arreola54%
Tiago Trator 46%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes Akbarh Arreola a 54% favorite over Tiago Trator in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

Akbarh Arreola holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1637 to 1550, a 87-point edge.

Akbarh Arreola enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Akbarh Arreola finishes 96% of wins inside the distance, Tiago Trator 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.