Combat Edge Intelligence

Akbarh Arreola vs Yves Edwards

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Yves Edwards
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Yves Edwards

“Thugjitsu Master”

42-22-1LightweightUFC

1686Good

Tale of the tape

26-11-1Record42-22-1
MiddleweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
71,0"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight155 lbs
Entram GymTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Yves Edwards is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Akbarh Arreola carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Akbarh ArreolaNow 1637
If they win+14→ 1651
If they lose-10→ 1627
Yves EdwardsNow 1686
If they win+10→ 1696
If they lose-14→ 1672

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1588 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1633 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.32
Sig. strikes / min
2.91
45%
Strike accuracy
43%
4.01
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.34
57%
Strike defense
67%
1.07
Takedown avg.
0.76
100%
Takedown accuracy
54%
33%
Takedown defense
69%
0.36
Submission avg.
0.66

Trajectory

Akbarh ArreolaYves Edwards
16501700175020122013201420152016201720182019202020212022

Win method breakdown

5 (19%)
KO/TKO
17 (40%)
20 (77%)
Submission
16 (38%)
1 (4%)
Decision
9 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Akbarh Arreola54%
Yves Edwards 46%Elo baseline: 43%

The Combat Edge model makes Akbarh Arreola a 54% favorite over Yves Edwards in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Yves Edwards's way (43%).

Yves Edwards holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1686 to 1637, a 49-point edge.

Akbarh Arreola enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Yves Edwards enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Akbarh Arreola finishes 96% of wins inside the distance, Yves Edwards 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.