Akbarjon Islomboev vs Spike Carlyle
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-2-0Record15-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'8"
70.5"Reach39,0"
145 lbsWeight156 lbs
TeamKings MMA· 1670 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1699
If they lose-16→ 1667
If they win+16→ 1698
If they lose-16→ 1666
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1508 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1620 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Akbarjon IslomboevSpike Carlyle
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Spike Carlyle54%
Akbarjon Islomboev 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Spike Carlyle a 54% favorite over Akbarjon Islomboev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Akbarjon Islomboev's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1683 vs 1682), separated by just 1 points.
Akbarjon Islomboev enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Akbarjon Islomboev finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Spike Carlyle 93%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.