Combat Edge Intelligence

Akhmed Gakiev vs Themba Gorimbo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-4-0Record14-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height6'1"
-Reach77"
157 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fight Club Akhmat· 1683 avg Elo · 20 ratedTeamMMA Masters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Akhmed GakievNow 1610
If they win+16→ 1626
If they lose-16→ 1594
Themba GorimboNow 1609
If they win+16→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1593

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1519 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1631 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.72
TBD
Strike accuracy
61%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.32
TBD
Strike defense
52%
TBD
Takedown avg.
5.07
TBD
Takedown accuracy
66%
TBD
Takedown defense
73%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.44

Trajectory

Akhmed GakievThemba Gorimbo
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (17%)
KO/TKO
2 (14%)
0 (0%)
Submission
6 (43%)
10 (83%)
Decision
6 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Akhmed Gakiev60%
Themba Gorimbo 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Akhmed Gakiev a 60% favorite over Themba Gorimbo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1610 vs 1609), separated by just 1 points.

Akhmed Gakiev enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Themba Gorimbo enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Akhmed Gakiev finishes 17% of wins inside the distance, Themba Gorimbo 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.