Combat Edge Intelligence

Akhmed Magomedov vs Cameron Dollar

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record11-5-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'11"
-ReachTBD
156 lbsWeight145 lbs
Fight Club AkhmatTeamColorado Fight Factory

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Akhmed MagomedovNow 1600
If they win+16→ 1616
If they lose-16→ 1584
Cameron DollarNow 1602
If they win+16→ 1618
If they lose-16→ 1586

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.04
TBD
Strike accuracy
38%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.94
TBD
Strike defense
61%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Akhmed MagomedovCameron Dollar
160016502011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (10%)
KO/TKO
4 (36%)
3 (30%)
Submission
6 (55%)
6 (60%)
Decision
1 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

Akhmed Magomedov60%
Cameron Dollar 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Akhmed Magomedov a 60% favorite over Cameron Dollar in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Cameron Dollar's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1600 vs 1602), separated by just 2 points.

Akhmed Magomedov enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Akhmed Magomedov finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Cameron Dollar 91%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.