Combat Edge Intelligence

Akhmed Magomedov vs Charlie Brenneman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record19-8-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
-ReachTBD
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Fight Club AkhmatTeamAMA Fight Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Akhmed MagomedovNow 1600
If they win+16→ 1616
If they lose-16→ 1584
Charlie BrennemanNow 1599
If they win+12→ 1611
If they lose-12→ 1587

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.52
TBD
Strike accuracy
57%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.55
TBD
Strike defense
47%
TBD
Takedown avg.
4.23
TBD
Takedown accuracy
42%
TBD
Takedown defense
73%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Akhmed MagomedovCharlie Brenneman
1600165020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (10%)
KO/TKO
5 (26%)
3 (30%)
Submission
5 (26%)
6 (60%)
Decision
9 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Akhmed Magomedov63%
Charlie Brenneman 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Akhmed Magomedov a 63% favorite over Charlie Brenneman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1600 vs 1599), separated by just 1 points.

Akhmed Magomedov enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Charlie Brenneman enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Akhmed Magomedov finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Charlie Brenneman 53%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.