Combat Edge Intelligence

Akhmed Magomedov vs Devin Powell

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record10-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height6'0"
-Reach41,0"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Fight Club AkhmatTeamNostos MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Akhmed MagomedovNow 1600
If they win+16→ 1616
If they lose-16→ 1584
Devin PowellNow 1599
If they win+16→ 1615
If they lose-16→ 1583

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.88
TBD
Strike accuracy
42%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.67
TBD
Strike defense
51%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.64

Trajectory

Akhmed MagomedovDevin Powell
1600165020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (10%)
KO/TKO
3 (30%)
3 (30%)
Submission
4 (40%)
6 (60%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Akhmed Magomedov60%
Devin Powell 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Akhmed Magomedov a 60% favorite over Devin Powell in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1600 vs 1599), separated by just 1 points.

Akhmed Magomedov enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Akhmed Magomedov finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Devin Powell 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.