Akhmed Magomedov vs Martin Svensson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-5-0Record15-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height6'1"
-Reach42,0"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Fight Club AkhmatTeamFrontier MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1616
If they lose-16→ 1584
If they win+16→ 1619
If they lose-16→ 1587
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1539 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Akhmed MagomedovMartin Svensson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Akhmed Magomedov60%
Martin Svensson 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Akhmed Magomedov a 60% favorite over Martin Svensson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Martin Svensson's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1600 vs 1603), separated by just 3 points.
Akhmed Magomedov enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Akhmed Magomedov finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Martin Svensson 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.