Combat Edge Intelligence

Akhmed Magomedov vs Mitch Clarke

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Mitch Clarke
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Mitch Clarke

“Danger Zone”

11-5-0LightweightUFC

1599Solid

Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record11-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
-Reach73,0"
156 lbsWeight154 lbs
Fight Club AkhmatTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Akhmed MagomedovNow 1600
If they win+16→ 1616
If they lose-16→ 1584
Mitch ClarkeNow 1599
If they win+16→ 1615
If they lose-16→ 1583

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1578 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.35
TBD
Strike accuracy
34%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.27
TBD
Strike defense
48%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.64
TBD
Takedown accuracy
15%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.43

Trajectory

Akhmed MagomedovMitch Clarke
1600165020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (10%)
KO/TKO
1 (9%)
3 (30%)
Submission
7 (64%)
6 (60%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Akhmed Magomedov63%
Mitch Clarke 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Akhmed Magomedov a 63% favorite over Mitch Clarke in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1600 vs 1599), separated by just 1 points.

Akhmed Magomedov enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Mitch Clarke enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Akhmed Magomedov finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Mitch Clarke 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.