Akhmed Magomedov vs Rafaello Oliveira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-5-0Record17-8-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'8"
-ReachTBD
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Fight Club Akhmat· 1683 avg Elo · 20 ratedTeamAMA Fight Club
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1546 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1583 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Akhmed MagomedovRafaello Oliveira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Akhmed Magomedov and Rafaello Oliveira within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1601 vs 1601), separated by just 0 points.
Akhmed Magomedov enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Rafaello Oliveira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Akhmed Magomedov finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Rafaello Oliveira 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.