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Combat Edge Intelligence

Akhmed Musakaev vs Casey Olson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Casey Olson
us

Casey Olson

“The Underdog”

14-4-0BantamweightTPF

1620Solid

Tale of the tape

12-5-0Record14-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
69.3"ReachTBD
146 lbsWeight136 lbs
Sambo-PiterTeamThe Pit

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Akhmed MusakaevNow 1620
If they win+16→ 1636
If they lose-16→ 1604
Casey OlsonNow 1620
If they win+16→ 1636
If they lose-16→ 1604

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1552 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.80
Not available
Strike accuracy
63%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0
Not available
Strike defense
100%
Not available
Takedown avg.
4
Not available
Takedown accuracy
67%
Not available
Takedown defense
100%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Akhmed MusakaevCasey Olson
1600165020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (42%)
KO/TKO
4 (29%)
2 (17%)
Submission
4 (29%)
5 (42%)
Decision
6 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Akhmed Musakaev60%
Casey Olson 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Akhmed Musakaev a 60% favorite over Casey Olson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1620 vs 1620), separated by just 0 points.

Akhmed Musakaev enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Akhmed Musakaev finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Casey Olson 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.