Akhmed Musakaev vs Chermen Gobaev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-4-0Record9-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'9"
69.3"Reach-
146 lbsWeight137 lbs
What's at stake
Chermen Gobaev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Akhmed Musakaev carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1652
If they lose-14→ 1620
If they win+21→ 1706
If they lose-27→ 1658
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1535 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Akhmed MusakaevChermen Gobaev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chermen Gobaev71%
Akhmed Musakaev 29%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Chermen Gobaev a 71% favorite over Akhmed Musakaev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Chermen Gobaev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1685 to 1634, a 51-point edge.
Akhmed Musakaev enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Chermen Gobaev enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Akhmed Musakaev finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Chermen Gobaev 22%.
Akhmed Musakaev and Chermen Gobaev share 2 common opponents: Murad Kalamov and Mukhitdin Kholov.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (2)
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2021
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2025