Akihiro Gono vs Nick Meck
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
37-24-8Record10-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'11"
TBDReach74"
161 lbsWeight170 lbs
GrabakaTeamMarathon MMA· 1645 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1597
If they lose-12→ 1573
If they win+16→ 1601
If they lose-16→ 1569
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1507 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Akihiro GonoNick Meck
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nick Meck55%
Akihiro Gono 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Nick Meck a 55% favorite over Akihiro Gono in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Akihiro Gono's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1585 vs 1585), separated by just 0 points.
Akihiro Gono finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Nick Meck 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.