Combat Edge Intelligence

Akihiro Gono vs Ryan Gerena

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

37-24-8Record4-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'10"
TBDReach-
161 lbsWeight171 lbs
GrabakaTeamVamos BJJ

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Akihiro GonoNow 1585
If they win+12→ 1597
If they lose-12→ 1573
Ryan GerenaNow 1584
If they win+24→ 1608
If they lose-24→ 1560

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1507 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1509 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.35
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
53%
Strike accuracy
TBD
11.35
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
64%
Strike defense
TBD
1.57
Takedown avg.
TBD
80%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
46%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.39
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Akihiro GonoRyan Gerena
150015501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (19%)
KO/TKO
3 (75%)
9 (25%)
Submission
0 (0%)
20 (56%)
Decision
1 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Ryan Gerena62%
Akihiro Gono 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Gerena a 62% favorite over Akihiro Gono in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Akihiro Gono's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1585 vs 1584), separated by just 1 points.

Ryan Gerena enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Akihiro Gono finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Gerena 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.