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Combat Edge Intelligence

Akira Corassani vs Andy Ogle

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Andy Ogle
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Andy Ogle

“The Little Axe”

9-6-0FeatherweightUFC

1556Solid

Tale of the tape

12-6-0Record9-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight144 lbs

What's at stake

Akira Corassani is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Andy Ogle carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Akira CorassaniNow 1598
If they win+14→ 1612
If they lose-18→ 1580
Andy OgleNow 1556
If they win+18→ 1574
If they lose-14→ 1542

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1582 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.25
Sig. strikes / min
2.24
45%
Strike accuracy
45%
4.91
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.23
50%
Strike defense
50%
0.70
Takedown avg.
1.44
29%
Takedown accuracy
27%
87%
Takedown defense
58%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Akira CorassaniAndy Ogle
155016001650201320142015

Win method breakdown

1 (9%)
KO/TKO
2 (22%)
3 (27%)
Submission
3 (33%)
7 (64%)
Decision
4 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Andy Ogle56%
Akira Corassani 44%Elo baseline: 44%

The Combat Edge model makes Andy Ogle a 56% favorite over Akira Corassani in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Akira Corassani's way (44%).

Akira Corassani holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1598 to 1556, a 42-point edge.

Akira Corassani enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Andy Ogle enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Akira Corassani finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Andy Ogle 56%.

Akira Corassani and Andy Ogle share 1 common opponent: Maximo Blanco.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDQ · 2013
Maximo Blanco
LossDecision - Unanimous · 2014