Akira Corassani vs Dustin Poirier
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-6-0Record30-10-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'9"
TBDReach72″
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Renzo Gracie Jiu-JitsuTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Dustin Poirier is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Akira Corassani carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+25→ 1624
If they lose-7→ 1592
If they win+5→ 1817
If they lose-19→ 1793
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1583 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1814 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Akira CorassaniDustin Poirier
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dustin Poirier84%
Akira Corassani 16%Elo baseline: 77%
The Combat Edge model makes Dustin Poirier a 84% favorite over Akira Corassani in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (77%).
Dustin Poirier holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1812 to 1599, a 213-point edge.
Akira Corassani enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Dustin Poirier enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Akira Corassani finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Dustin Poirier 77%.
Akira Corassani and Dustin Poirier share 1 common opponent: Max Holloway.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.