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Combat Edge Intelligence

Akitoshi Tamura vs Ryan Keogh

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

21-18-2Record1-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
143 lbsWeight145 lbs
Tsudanuma DojoTeamSBG Ireland

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Akitoshi TamuraNow 1525
If they win+12→ 1537
If they lose-12→ 1513
Ryan KeoghNow 1526
If they win+24→ 1550
If they lose-24→ 1502

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1498 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1471 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.73
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
44%
Strike accuracy
Not available
1.94
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
78%
Strike defense
Not available
0
Takedown avg.
Not available
0%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
20%
Takedown defense
Not available
1
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Akitoshi TamuraRyan Keogh
1500155020152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (5%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
5 (24%)
Submission
1 (100%)
15 (71%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Akitoshi Tamura54%
Ryan Keogh 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Akitoshi Tamura a 54% favorite over Ryan Keogh in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ryan Keogh's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1525 vs 1526), separated by just 1 points.

Akitoshi Tamura finishes 29% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.