Al Iaquinta vs Dan Hooker
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-7-1Record24-14-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height6'0"
70"Reach 75"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Serra-Longo Fight TeamTeamCity Kickboxing
What's at stake
Dan Hooker is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Al Iaquinta carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1678
If they lose-13→ 1646
If they win+10→ 1735
If they lose-14→ 1711
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1723 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1762 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Al IaquintaDan Hooker
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dan Hooker78%
Al Iaquinta 22%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Dan Hooker a 78% favorite over Al Iaquinta in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Dan Hooker holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1725 to 1659, a 66-point edge.
Al Iaquinta enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Dan Hooker enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Al Iaquinta finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Dan Hooker 75%.
Dan Hooker carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.