Al Iaquinta vs Joe Lauzon
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-7-1Record28-15-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'10"
70"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Serra-Longo Fight TeamTeamLauzon MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1675
If they lose-16→ 1643
If they win+12→ 1661
If they lose-12→ 1637
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1723 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1669 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Al IaquintaJoe Lauzon
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Al Iaquinta64%
Joe Lauzon 36%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Al Iaquinta a 64% favorite over Joe Lauzon in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1659 vs 1649), separated by just 10 points.
Al Iaquinta enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Al Iaquinta finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Joe Lauzon 93%.
Al Iaquinta and Joe Lauzon share 1 common opponent: Diego Sanchez.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.