Al Iaquinta vs Jorge Masvidal
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-7-1Record35-17-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'7"Height5'11"
70"Reach74"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Serra-Longo Fight TeamTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Jorge Masvidal is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Al Iaquinta carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1679
If they lose-12→ 1647
If they win+9→ 1749
If they lose-15→ 1725
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1723 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1781 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Al IaquintaJorge Masvidal
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jorge Masvidal61%
Al Iaquinta 39%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Jorge Masvidal a 61% favorite over Al Iaquinta in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Jorge Masvidal holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1740 to 1659, a 81-point edge.
Al Iaquinta enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Jorge Masvidal enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Al Iaquinta finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Jorge Masvidal 51%.
Al Iaquinta and Jorge Masvidal share 1 common opponent: Donald Cerrone.
Jorge Masvidal carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.