Al Iaquinta vs King Green
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-7-1Record36-18-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'10"
70"Reach71″
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Serra-Longo Fight Team· 1771 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamPinnacle MMA
What's at stake
King Green is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Al Iaquinta carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1678
If they lose-14→ 1646
If they win+10→ 1719
If they lose-14→ 1695
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1723 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1699 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Al IaquintaKing Green
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
King Green74%
Al Iaquinta 26%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes King Green a 74% favorite over Al Iaquinta in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
King Green holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1709 to 1660, a 49-point edge.
Al Iaquinta enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Al Iaquinta finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, King Green 64%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.