Al Iaquinta vs Marcos Aurélio
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-7-1Record10-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'8"
70"Reach69"
155 lbsWeight152 lbs
Serra-Longo Fight Team· 1771 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamMutaru
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1676
If they lose-16→ 1644
If they win+16→ 1677
If they lose-16→ 1645
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1723 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Al IaquintaMarcos Aurélio
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcos Aurélio83%
Al Iaquinta 17%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcos Aurélio a 83% favorite over Al Iaquinta in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1660 vs 1661), separated by just 1 points.
Al Iaquinta enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Marcos Aurélio enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Al Iaquinta finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Marcos Aurélio 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.