Combat Edge Intelligence

Al Iaquinta vs Mitch Clarke

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Mitch Clarke
ca

Mitch Clarke

“Danger Zone”

11-5-0LightweightUFC

1599Solid

Tale of the tape

14-7-1Record11-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'10"
70"Reach73,0"
155 lbsWeight154 lbs
Serra-Longo Fight TeamTeamTBD

What's at stake

Al Iaquinta is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Mitch Clarke carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Al IaquintaNow 1659
If they win+13→ 1672
If they lose-19→ 1640
Mitch ClarkeNow 1599
If they win+19→ 1618
If they lose-13→ 1586

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1723 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1578 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.06
Sig. strikes / min
2.35
41%
Strike accuracy
34%
4.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.27
61%
Strike defense
48%
0.63
Takedown avg.
0.64
19%
Takedown accuracy
15%
74%
Takedown defense
50%
0.24
Submission avg.
0.43

Trajectory

Al IaquintaMitch Clarke
1600165017001750201620172018201920202021

Win method breakdown

7 (50%)
KO/TKO
1 (9%)
1 (7%)
Submission
7 (64%)
6 (43%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Al Iaquinta64%
Mitch Clarke 36%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Al Iaquinta a 64% favorite over Mitch Clarke in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Al Iaquinta holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1659 to 1599, a 60-point edge.

Al Iaquinta enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Mitch Clarke enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Al Iaquinta finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Mitch Clarke 73%.

Mitch Clarke carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.