Combat Edge Intelligence

Al Iaquinta vs Piotr Hallmann

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-7-1Record19-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'9"
70"Reach41,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Serra-Longo Fight Team· 1771 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamMighty Bulls Gdynia

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Al IaquintaNow 1660
If they win+16→ 1676
If they lose-16→ 1644
Piotr HallmannNow 1657
If they win+16→ 1673
If they lose-16→ 1641

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1723 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1582 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.06
Sig. strikes / min
3.98
41%
Strike accuracy
46%
4.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.17
61%
Strike defense
59%
0.63
Takedown avg.
2.55
19%
Takedown accuracy
44%
74%
Takedown defense
71%
0.24
Submission avg.
0.42

Trajectory

Al IaquintaPiotr Hallmann
165017001750201620172018201920202021

Win method breakdown

7 (50%)
KO/TKO
8 (42%)
1 (7%)
Submission
7 (37%)
6 (43%)
Decision
4 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Al Iaquinta and Piotr Hallmann within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1660 vs 1657), separated by just 3 points.

Al Iaquinta enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Piotr Hallmann enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Al Iaquinta finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Piotr Hallmann 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.