Combat Edge Intelligence

Al Iaquinta vs Vener Galiev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-7-1Record38-15-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'9"
70"Reach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Serra-Longo Fight Team· 1771 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamRaty Team· 1668 avg Elo · 13 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Al IaquintaNow 1660
If they win+16→ 1676
If they lose-16→ 1644
Vener GalievNow 1661
If they win+12→ 1673
If they lose-12→ 1649

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1723 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1562 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.06
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
41%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
61%
Strike defense
TBD
0.63
Takedown avg.
TBD
19%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
74%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.24
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Al IaquintaVener Galiev
16501700175020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (50%)
KO/TKO
20 (53%)
1 (7%)
Submission
5 (13%)
6 (43%)
Decision
13 (34%)

Combat Edge model read

Vener Galiev75%
Al Iaquinta 25%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Vener Galiev a 75% favorite over Al Iaquinta in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1660 vs 1661), separated by just 1 points.

Al Iaquinta enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Vener Galiev enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Al Iaquinta finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Vener Galiev 66%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.