Combat Edge Intelligence

Al Matavao vs Bruno Santos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Al Matavao
as

Al Matavao

“Sweetness”

11-7-0MiddleweightSaaR

1574Solid

Tale of the tape

11-7-0Record19-5-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'8"Height5'8"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Legacy Jiu-JitsuTeamMMA Masters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Al MatavaoNow 1574
If they win+16→ 1590
If they lose-16→ 1558
Bruno SantosNow 1576
If they win+16→ 1592
If they lose-16→ 1560

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1544 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1543 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.84
Sig. strikes / min
1.18
47%
Strike accuracy
46%
6.70
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.27
59%
Strike defense
57%
0
Takedown avg.
3
TBD
Takedown accuracy
38%
0%
Takedown defense
67%
0
Submission avg.
0.33

Trajectory

Al MatavaoBruno Santos
155016002022202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (73%)
KO/TKO
1 (5%)
1 (9%)
Submission
1 (5%)
2 (18%)
Decision
17 (89%)

Combat Edge model read

Al Matavao60%
Bruno Santos 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Al Matavao a 60% favorite over Bruno Santos in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Bruno Santos's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1574 vs 1576), separated by just 2 points.

Al Matavao finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Bruno Santos 11%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.