Combat Edge Intelligence

Al Matavao vs Daniel Schwindt

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Al Matavao
as

Al Matavao

“Sweetness”

11-7-0MiddleweightSaaR

1573Solid

Tale of the tape

11-7-0Record8-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'8"Height6'1"
TBDReach-
185 lbsWeight181 lbs
Legacy Jiu-JitsuTeamKongs Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Al MatavaoNow 1573
If they win+16→ 1589
If they lose-16→ 1557
Daniel SchwindtNow 1572
If they win+16→ 1588
If they lose-16→ 1556

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1530 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.84
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
47%
Strike accuracy
TBD
6.70
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
59%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Al MatavaoDaniel Schwindt
1550160020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (73%)
KO/TKO
6 (75%)
1 (9%)
Submission
1 (13%)
2 (18%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Daniel Schwindt60%
Al Matavao 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Schwindt a 60% favorite over Al Matavao in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Al Matavao's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1573 vs 1572), separated by just 1 points.

Al Matavao finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Daniel Schwindt 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.