Combat Edge Intelligence

Al Matavao vs David Wright

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Al Matavao
as

Al Matavao

“Sweetness”

11-7-0MiddleweightSaaR

1574Solid

Tale of the tape

11-7-0Record6-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'8"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Legacy Jiu-JitsuTeamLovato's School of Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Al MatavaoNow 1574
If they win+16→ 1590
If they lose-16→ 1558
David WrightNow 1575
If they win+24→ 1599
If they lose-24→ 1551

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1544 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.84
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
47%
Strike accuracy
TBD
6.70
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
59%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Al MatavaoDavid Wright
15001550160020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (73%)
KO/TKO
3 (50%)
1 (9%)
Submission
3 (50%)
2 (18%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

David Wright60%
Al Matavao 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes David Wright a 60% favorite over Al Matavao in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1574 vs 1575), separated by just 1 points.

Al Matavao finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, David Wright 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.