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Combat Edge Intelligence

Al Matavao vs Edwin Dewees

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Al Matavao
as

Al Matavao

“Sweetness”

11-7-0MiddleweightSaaR

1585Solid
Edwin Dewees
us

Edwin Dewees

“Babyface”

38-17-0Light HeavyweightRITC

1583Solid

Tale of the tape

11-7-0Record38-17-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'8"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Legacy Jiu-JitsuTeamLions Den Scottsdale

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Al MatavaoNow 1585
If they win+16→ 1601
If they lose-16→ 1569
Edwin DeweesNow 1583
If they win+12→ 1595
If they lose-12→ 1571

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1564 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1546 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

7.84
Sig. strikes / min
1.56
47%
Strike accuracy
39%
6.70
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
8.82
59%
Strike defense
39%
0
Takedown avg.
3.11
Not available
Takedown accuracy
100%
0%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
4.67

Trajectory

Al MatavaoEdwin Dewees
155016002013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (73%)
KO/TKO
10 (26%)
1 (9%)
Submission
24 (63%)
2 (18%)
Decision
4 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Al Matavao and Edwin Dewees within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1585 vs 1583), separated by just 2 points.

Edwin Dewees enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Al Matavao finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Edwin Dewees 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.